THE FORBES TOP 150 COMPANIES RANKED BY MAGIC FORMULA STATISTICS

May 19, 2010

  

Magic Formula Investing (MFI) is probably most popular for digging up attractively priced and quality small-cap stocks that have been overlooked or misunderstood by the market. Small-caps are usually not covered by a lot of analysts and not talked about on CNBC, yet small-cap value has been the best performing equity group historically. The book behind MFI, Joel Greenblatt's The Little Book that Beats the Market, confirms that this group also performs better using the strategy's principles. While the book's analysis showed the top MFI stocks of any size outperforming the S&P 500 by 18.5% annually, limiting to just the largest 1,000 stocks reduced outperformance to 11.2% annually.

While that is a significant drop, it is still an outstanding performance. There are clearly reasons why some investors prefer to stick to large-cap companies in their equity portfolios. For one, these stocks are more familiar to investors, making them easier to understand. Large companies also (usually) have much wider product lines, better economies of scale, long operating histories, diverse customer bases, and easy access to the credit markets, all of which most small-caps cannot boast. Additionally, large-caps usually have less volatile up-and-down price swings, which can be un-nerving to inexperienced investors. Many people feel more comfortable investing in large companies because of these advantages.

Recently, Forbes published its annual Leading Companies list, which ranks the top 150 worldwide companies by a composite of sales, profits, assets, and market value. MagicDiligence thought it would be interesting to take this list and rank the stocks by the Magic Formula statistics of earnings yield and adjusted return on capital, to show which of these large companies were above average in efficiency and below average in price.

A few caveats first. As you will see, we came up well shy of 150 companies. In fact, only 58 of them were able to be ranked in MFI fashion. There are several reasons for this. First, any banks, insurance companies, investment firms, and utilities had to be removed, as Magic Formula Investing specifically throws them out by design. This alone eliminated a third of the list. Next, I only included stocks which can be bought on a major U.S. exchange, eliminating several unlisted foreign firms. Finally, some stocks had incomplete data, causing an inability to calculate the necessary stats. By the way, all statistics were calculated with MagicDiligence's free MFI Statistics Calculator.

The table below shows the list, ordered from most attractive by MFI stats to least attractive. The companies with an asterisk (*) currently appear on one or more screens from the official MFI site.

RankCompanyTickerEYEY RankROICROIC RankComposite Rank
1*Philip Morris Int'lPM19.2%4176.3%15
2AstraZenecaAZN19.3%3100.2%47
3*IBMIBM15.6%872.0%614
4UnileverUN11.2%1365.8%821
5StatoilSTO26.1%233.0%2224
6*Microsoft MSFT9.4%21115.7%324
7GlaxoSmithKlineGSK11.8%1252.1%1224
8TelefonicaTEF16.9%635.7%1925
9Johnson & JohnsonJNJ9.8%1857.5%927
10Eni SpAE30.7%128.1%2728
11ABB ABB11.0%1548.4%1328
12United Parcel ServiceUPS11.2%1338.8%1831
13*Lockheed MartinLMT12.2%1033.6%2131
14CVS CaremarkCVS10.7%1642.8%1531
15Time WarnerTWX10.5%1739.3%1734
16Hewlett-PackardHPQ9.4%2146.7%1435
17GoogleGOOG7.8%33140.7%235
18Telecom ItaliaTI 18.7%518.5%3742
19OracleORCL7.2%3899.0%543
20Total S.A.TOT16.2%718.0%3845
21PfizerPFE9.3%2329.6%2548
22Proctor & GamblePG7.2%3854.0%1048
23Wal-Mart StoresWMT9.7%1922.2%3150
24CiscoCSCO6.5%4466.6%751
25BPBP15.2%916.4%4251
26Abbott LabsABT7.5%3639.8%1652
27NovartisNVS9.3%2323.1%3053
28ChevronCVX11.9%1114.7%4455
29AppleAAPL5.9%4752.6%1158
30ExxonMobilXOM9.5%2016.6%4060
31ComcastCMCSA8.7%2822.0%3260
32Coca-ColaKO6.8%4235.7%1961
33SiemensSI9.0%2720.6%3562
34IntelINTC7.6%3527.2%2863
35AT&TT 9.1%2617.8%3965
36KraftKFT6.9%4131.3%2465
37NokiaNOK6.6%4331.6%2366
38DisneyDIS7.9%3220.6%3668
39VerizonVZ9.2%2512.3%4772
40PepsiCoPEP5.8%4828.7%2674
41TargetTGT8.4%3114.3%4576
42Deutsch TelekomDT8.5%3011.8%4878
43Home DepotHD7.1%4016.6%4080
44British American BTI4.3%5224.3%2981
45PoscoPKX8.6%299.6%5281
46Ford MotorF7.4%3712.9%4683
47SchlumbergerSLB4.5%5120.9%3485
48ConocoPhillipsCOP7.8%337.0%5588
49News CorpNWS6.1%4616.2%4389
50Rio TintoRTP0.2%5821.0%3391
51CanonCAJ5.1%499.9%4998
52PetroChinaPTR6.3%458.4%5398
53ValeVALE4.9%509.8%50100
54BoeingBA3.3%559.7%51106
55Honda MotorHMC4.3%524.1%57109
56China MobileCHL2.7%568.2%54110
57TescoTESO3.7%545.2%56110
58China UnicomCHU1.4%571.4%58115

A MagicDiligence Membership gives you full access to the best stocks that Magic Formula Investing has to offer. Professional quality research, formal stock recommendations, timely updates, and exclusive investing tools are all at your fingertips, at one of the lowest prices in the entire investment world. Click here to learn more!


Joel Greenblatt and MagicFormulaInvesting.com are not associated in any way with this website. Neither Mr. Greenblatt or MagicFormulaInvesting.com endorse this website's investment advice, strategy, or products. Investment recommendations on this website are not chosen by Mr. Greenblatt, nor are they based on Mr. Greenblatt's proprietary investment model, and are not chosen by MagicFormulaInvesting.com. Magic Formula® is a registered trademark of MagicFormulaInvesting.com, which has no connection to this website. The information on this website is for informational purposes only. No warranty is provided or implied as to the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of this information. This information may not be construed as investment advice of any kind. The proprietor of this website is not responsible in any way for losses or damages resulting from the use of this information. Alexander Online Properties is not a registered investment advisor.

© 2008-2011 Alexander Online Properties


Comments


Posted by jpaa74 on 2011-05-20 16:46:40

Where is ARO (Aropostale), DELL, HRB (H&R Block) and Unisys on this list?? Filtering for min market cap of 100 mil. and top 50 companies, all of these show up, and they have for a LOOOONG time...! Since ARO dropped about 15% yesterday,I wouldn't be surprised if we see ARO back on the TOP 30 list with only 50 mil market cap as minimum...

Unisys show up even on the min. 50 mil. and only top 30 stocks, even though it's a HUGE company, and both DELL and HRB show up on the top 30 list just by raising the min. market cap from 50 to 100 mil.

Also, raising the screen criteria to min. 5000 mil market cap (maximum on Joel's filter) and to the top 50 stocks, MANY of the stocks that are included in the above list are NOT included in Joel's maximum large cap screen, which I've never seen him actually recommend using. Only market caps up to 1 billion. Just a few examples are JNJ (Johnson and Johnson) and PG (Procter and Gamble).

Not even your number one ranked stock, PM (Philip Morris international) show up on any of Joel's screens, although I have seen it listed there before.

How do you explain this incredibly large discrepancy between your global magic formula screen, and Joel's US only screen? Your screen, since it is global, should at least list Joel's top US stocks, since you do have a fair amount of them listed on your list, correct? They should essentially be the same for the US stocks, correct?

Looking forward to you reply and answer to these questions.

Regards,

SnowballInvestor

PS: To your credit, MSFT (Microsoft shows up high on both your list as well as Joel's top 30 list with min. 50 mil. market cap, even though it's a HUGE multi-billion company...! This was the only stock I could find that was also listed high on Joel's magic formula list (the inventor of it, and the original).


Posted by Steve on 2011-05-22 05:38:54

Like the article says, this is the Forbes' Top 150 list (from 2010 no less), ranked by Magic Formula stats. It is not the list from Joel Greenblatt's site.


Posted by jpaa74 on 2011-05-23 09:15:03

Apologies then! I thought this was YOUR ranking of the top international 150 companies. If it's also over a year old, I can certainly understand the descrepencies.

Do you have/maintain a similar list, which is up-to-date?

SnowballInvestor

Login to Post A New Comment:

Username:
Password:
   Create a free account